Could it have impact on Florida as named storm Hermine?

The FOX 35 Storm Team continues to monitor a lot of activity in the tropics – Hurricane Fiona and Tropical Storm Gaston – as well as Tropical Wave Invest-98L which could impact Florida as our next storm of the season, Hermine.


The tropical wave was over the far southeastern Caribbean Sea off Trinidad Thursday and has a 90 percent chance of developing. The system is expected to improve slightly in a few days and a tropical depression is likely to form at that time.

“Disruption 1 will be named Hermine once the intensity reaches tropical storm status,” said FOX 35 Storm Team Chief Meteorologist Jayme King. “Long-range models will bring this system closer to the northwest Caribbean or southern Gulf of Mexico early next week. Right now, there’s a lot of disagreement between many of the tropical models.

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King says the Euro model shows the system impacting the Florida peninsula on Thursday, Sept. 29, while the GFS model has a more westerly course and heads toward the central Gulf of Mexico.

Please note that things may change and the forecast trajectory is uncertain at this point. Florida must be vigilant in the coming days.


On Thursday, Fiona was south-southwest of Halifax Nova Scotia with maximum sustained winds of 130 mph, making it a powerful Category 4 hurricane. In its 2 p.m. update, the National Hurricane Center said Fiona’s outer bands are reaching Bermuda and there is a risk of significant effects from wind, storm surge and heavy rainfall for Atlantic Canada.

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A hurricane warning is in effect for:

A hurricane watch is in effect for:

  • Nova Scotia from Hubbards to Brulea
  • Prince Edward Island
  • Isle-de-la-Madeleine
  • Newfoundland from Parson’s Pond to Port-Aux-Basques

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for:

  • St Andrews New Brunswick west of Hubbards Nova Scotia
  • West of Brule Nova Scotia to Cap Madeleine Quebec
  • Anticosti Island
  • Johan Beetz Bay Quebec north of Parson’s Pond Newfoundland
  • West Bay Labrador to Hare Bay Newfoundland
  • St. Lawrence east of Port-Aux-Basques Newfoundland

The National Hurricane Center says Fiona will pass just west of Bermuda tonight, approaching Nova Scotia on Friday and migrating across Nova Scotia to the Gulf of St. Lawrence on Saturday.

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“Little change in strength is expected tonight. The weakening is expected to begin on Friday, but Fiona is expected to be a large and powerful post-tropical cyclone with hurricane strength as it moves over Nova Scotia Friday evening and Saturday.”

While Fiona will not have a direct impact on Florida, the system will bring rough surf to Florida’s beaches with waves expected to be 1 to 2 meters high. Surfers and swimmers should be careful.


Gaston is located west-northwest of Faial Island in the Central Azores with maximum sustained winds of 65 mph.

“A turn to the east is expected tonight, and a slower southeast or southward movement is forecast early Saturday,” the NHC said. “On the predicted track, the center of Gaston will move near or over parts of the Azores on Friday. A gradual weakening is expected in the coming days.”

Gaston is not expected to pose a threat to Florida.

Stay with the FOX 35 Storm Team for updates throughout the hurricane season, which ends November 30.

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